Human intelligence forArtificial intelligence

Simplifying complexity

Vibe Coding and The AI Silver Bullet

Vibe Coding and The AI Silver Bullet

How AI will break Brooks' longstanding "no silver bullet" law, yet drive more software jobs - eventually.

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You can't accelerate mud without making a mess

You can't accelerate mud without making a mess

Around 500 BC Heraclitus declared, "you can never stand in the same river twice". Then everything changed.

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Lessons from the Anthropic Architect exam

Lessons from the Anthropic Architect exam

CCA-F facts and falacies.

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Token cost of ownership

Token cost of ownership

The utterly confusing, confounding, and compounding cost of AI.

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Fast horses

Fast horses

Agents are hyper-communicative polyglot polymaths with photographic memories - not faster horses.

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AI induced Idiocracy

AI induced Idiocracy

Over reliance on AI destroys new skill formation - who knew?

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Leadership as code

Leadership as code

Opus 4.6 and Codex 5.3 are more than coding engines, they are fabric for hyper-lean operating models.

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The coming Store

The coming Store

Steve Jobs' design genius wasn't form follows function - it was monetisation follows form. Could Anthropic unleash an AI Store for the singularity?

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Anthropic's enterprise move - moves markets

Anthropic's enterprise move - moves markets

When the tide goes out, you see who's got their trunks on - Warren Buffett [paraphrased], 1995 AGM .

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The SaaS-pocalypse

The SaaS-pocalypse

The end of SaaS? Not likely. Time to buy? Most likely.

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OpenClaw - SkyNet meets life of Brian

OpenClaw - SkyNet meets life of Brian

What happens when your side project turns into a cross between SkyNet and the Life of Brian?

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The 10x fly-off

The 10x fly-off

Near-term "10x" gains from coding agents won't come from ten times more code or a tenth of the cost. They come from crashing the value stream.

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Impedance matching

Impedance matching

The hardest problems in technology aren't inside systems - they're between them.

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Protecting your business from the AI-Borg

Protecting your business from the AI-Borg

If an MRI scan revealed your innermost thoughts, would you share the results? Looks like the Cursor crew wouldn't either...

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Cloud failure, not the end of the world

Cloud failure, not the end of the world

What's the risk - in the scheme of things?

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Fant-AI-sia. Magic without mastery is mischief

Fant-AI-sia. Magic without mastery is mischief

A philosophical critique of AI predictions, futurology and AI-2027.

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The innovation game

The innovation game

Serendipity and the law of obliquity

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Research · Sweeps

Multi-lane reads on what actually matters

Financial press, frontier labs, academia, VC and independent analysis - cross-read in a single view.

Research · Explainers

Penetrating the impenetrable

Long-form research explainers - context, implications, and the parts most coverage leaves out.

Open explainer

Gu (2026)

Future gains in long-horizon agents depend as much on the system built around the model as on the model itself

This position paper argues that the harness, the memory, context, skill-routing, orchestration and governance layers around a foundation model, should be designed, evaluated and scaled as a first-class object, and proposes a research agenda.

Six components
make up an agent in this framework: a reasoning substrate, memory, a context constructor, a skill router, an orchestration loop and a governance layer
Context governance
is the first bottleneck: the problem is not how many tokens a model can hold but whether the right ones are assembled each turn
Open explainer

Xiong et al. (2026)

Twelve language models managed the same subagent team, but none granted workspace permissions with better than 50% precision.

ClawArena-Team scores a text-only main agent on how well it creates, scopes, routes and schedules a fixed pool of local subagents across 41 evolving workspaces. Routing images and audio to the right specialist is nearly solved, while over-granting files and tools is the common failure.

41 scenarios
spanning 258 multi-turn rounds and 72 staged workspace updates, each scored by a shell command rather than a model judge
Under 50%
workspace-permission precision for every model, meaning subagents were granted roughly twice the files they actually read

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